22 January 2026

The Game-Changer

Recommendation

This book is both intriguing and highly useful. Procter & Gamble CEO A. G. Lafley and business author Ram Charan draw examples from several large, successful organizations – GE, Honeywell, Dupont – but their primary focus is Procter & Gamble (P&G). They explore how P&G changed from a staid giant to an organization driven by innovation – and radically expanded its sales and profits along the way. They are candid about P&G’s organizational methods and failed innovations, and they show how willing it has become to open up and connect. BooksInShort recommends this book to anyone who is interested in innovation on a corporate scale and wants to know how to make it happen.

Take-Aways

  • In today’s economy, innovation is the fundamental engine of organic growth.
  • Procter & Gamble (P&G) developed a culture of innovation to transform its business.
  • You can innovate methodically. Start by reviewing your core strengths. Set a strategy that determines where and how you want to innovate.
  • Build a portfolio of different types of innovation with varying risk levels.
  • To innovate regularly, establish organizational structures that support innovation.
  • Take all innovations through the same process of conscious development from idea creation through selection and development to sales and marketing.
  • To innovate, put the customer at the center of everything you do. P&G set out to learn from its customers.
  • Killing ideas that aren’t working or that offer too little return is an essential part of innovation.
  • Make innovation less risky by understanding the factors involved.
  • Innovation happens more easily in a culture that is conducive to it: Your organization needs to be brave, open, curious and collaborative.

Summary

Innovation, Procter & Gamble and You

Procter & Gamble (P&G) integrates “innovation into everything” it does. This drives its business, and is the primary source of its profits and competitive edge. However, that hasn’t always been the case. In June 2000, when A.G. Lafley became CEO, the company was not doing well. Earnings were flagging and the stock price was dropping. P&G transformed itself under his guidance. Its changes provide models you can use to transform your company by using innovation as a primary tool.

“Game-changing innovation comes not just from disruptive, ‘big-bang’ product innovations but also from leveraging what your business does best to create competitive advantage.”

Start by putting your customers at the center of everything you do. Pay attention to customers and treat them as the boss. Expand your horizons; P&G shifted from focusing on in-house development to being open to learning from a broad variety of experts and examples. Rather than growing through acquisitions or holding steady by clinging to old brands, prioritize “sustainable organic growth” and build your strategies around it.

“P&G’s managerial breakthrough was to conceive of and implement innovation as an end-to-end process based on the idea of the consumer as boss.”

Procter & Gamble started its reinvention by seeking “clarity and focus” and seriously examining its practices. Once the company’s leaders determined its priorities, they worked to make innovation an integrated process throughout the organization. P&G reaffirmed its core goals, and set ambitious new objectives to push sectors that were growing from 2% to 3% a year into 4% to 6% growth, to move “earnings-per-share growth” into double-digits and to accelerate cash flow. With this foundation, it developed strategies to reach its goals. This meant increasing returns in several mature, core business areas (fabric, baby and hair care; and women’s products), while shifting its investment to growth areas, including low-income consumers. P&G had to identify its “core strengths,” and build systems and a culture to maximize their impact. This required inspirational leadership.

“Every business has some central organizing principle that people use as the basis for making decisions, meeting challenges and creating opportunities. For P&G, it is innovation.”

Innovation doesn’t mean just creating something new. It means converting “a new idea into revenues and profits.” Innovation no longer means a lone inventor making a surprising breakthrough. In fact, innovation is a methodical process that works within the context of collaboration.

Laying the Foundations for Innovation

To innovate on a regular basis, start with the big picture: Who are your target customers? What do they want? P&G is very serious about knowing its customer, who is usually female. One unit even made a life-sized cardboard cutout of a consumer they named Joanne and brought her to meetings, so that they always kept her in mind. When you consider your consumer, try to understand the entire person. People’s needs vary according to their culture, setting, wants and expectations. For example, most companies that tried to market cellular phones in India did not understand the local culture. Nokia took the time to look at how Indian consumers would use phones – right down to realizing that in rural villages several families might share a phone – and adapted their product accordingly. As a result, it achieved market dominance.

“It is possible to instill a culture in which systematic innovation becomes a habit, practiced as a matter of routine – and consistency.”

People’s desires often are too complex for them to express; you must figure out how to articulate these unspoken needs. For this purpose, P&G seeks “total immersion” in the consumer’s world. Employees in P&G’s “Living It” program live with families for weeks to observe how they use products. The “Working It” program puts employees to work in small shops, so they can see what people buy or don’t buy, and find out why. After you make such observations, distill them into conclusions, and break down your general consumer profile into specific market profiles. To go further and create loyalty, enlist your customers in “co-creating and co-designing” innovations.

“When innovation is at the center of a company’s way of doing things, it finds ways to innovate not just in products, but also in functions, logistics, business models and processes.”

Your strategy plays a crucial role in innovation. Decide “where to play” and set goals about how far you hope to go. Remain open to different types of innovation. Seventeen P&G brands have used “disruptive innovation,” thus reconfiguring their markets. Overall, though, P&G has maintained its market position by steadily introducing smaller “incremental improvements.”

“A brand is a product that creates an experience and ultimately a relationship.”

To innovate, work from your core strengths. Identify and build upon the things you do best. P&G identifies its own strengths and then conducts extensive research to build “a deep understanding of the consumer.” It develops lasting brands. Tide detergent is more than 60 years old and still going strong. P&G has 23 brands that have sold more than $1 billion each. After developing the core technologies for these brands, P&G keeps them vital with advertising and incremental innovation. It also creates value with suppliers as well as customers, and it puts innovation at the core of a deliberate effort to learn and think broadly.

“Great innovations come from understanding the customer’s unmet needs and desires [which] they cannot articulate or do not want to say.”

During the four years he spent in Japan as head of P&G’s Asian operations, Lafley came to see design as a pivotal way to differentiate products. He learned from a society where even the department stores are beautiful that design can play a powerful role in innovation by improving the buyer’s experience with a product, generating product variations to match consumer profiles, and spurring innovation and sales. To foster sensitivity to design issues, P&G cultivates “abductive thinking,” the skill of imagining possible alternatives. Design schools teach and practice this ability, which P&G values so highly that it has hired 150 mid-career designers since 2001.

Enabling and Managing Innovation

To develop an organizational structure that fits your company and to set up the right “mix of innovation initiatives,” examine where your core business harbors an “innovation opportunity.” Is it accessible? Is it risky? What investment is required? Does it fit your strengths? What would the development timeline be? Where is this innovation in the process? Is it just an idea or a fully developed product? Finally, what sort of expertise do you need to bring this innovation to market? Working through these questions will determine how to shape your support structures.

“Generating ideas is...pointless unless there is a repeatable process in place to turn inspiration into financial performance.”

P&G uses various structures to support different kinds of innovation. Its “Corporate Innovation Fund,” which works like an internal venture capital firm, focuses on high-risk ideas that offer great rewards. The multidisciplinary teams in the “FutureWorks” program seek innovations that cross market categories. “New Business Development” focuses on nurturing innovations in existing categories, while “Innovation Project Teams” operate within existing brands. Like P&G, you can create “innovation hot zones.” Its Innovation Center near Cincinnati contains an entire small store where researchers can test new layouts and watch customers shop.

“Without the discipline of a system that fully shapes, revises and reshapes an idea through multiple iterations, a project rarely reaches full potential.”

In general, contemporary change management calls for open organizational architecture, so innovation can flow in any direction. P&G’s “Connect and Develop” program looks for cross-connections. It has led to P&G buying key products outright, or licensing them from the competition. Finally, you also can innovate with your cohorts, such as suppliers, retailers and customers. This multiplies your sources for innovation and enhances loyalty. As you locate potential innovations, integrate them into a disciplined, multistage development process that you can execute not once, but repeatedly. Start with the regular flow of new ideas. Then develop the best ones until you can take them to market. At any step along the way, you can kill ideas that aren’t working or that offer too little return. Weeding out less productive ideas can be hard – a lot of managers get too emotionally committed to axe pet plans – but it is necessary.

“A third of innovation resources are wasted because business unit managers let emotional commitment keep a project moving and don’t kill it at the right time.”

Make it easy for people to propose ideas. Honeywell uses an online “Innovation Pipeline” where anyone can add ideas. Obtaining funding for good ideas is a crucial part of the selection process. As you develop innovations, track them. Follow who is leading each project, how it is going, what technology and target markets are involved, and how important the idea is. Track all projects on the same software so you can monitor your innovation mix and keep it balanced.

“P&G spends...time living with consumers in their homes, shopping with them in stores, and being part of their lives. This total immersion leads to richer consumer insights, which helps identify innovation opportunities that are often missed by traditional research.”

The consumer will be any innovation’s ultimate judge, so your job is not to produce an innately impressive product, but rather one that satisfies your customer. Assemble a multi-disciplinary development team for the product. Select a leader who can coach the team, encourage frequent low-cost tests, judge them fairly, and evaluate the innovation based on technology, price, business model, available “proprietary” protection and consumer appeal. In addition to evaluating projects, conduct formal “innovation reviews” that assess team performance. Although your goal is successful innovation, failure is a necessary part of the process. A leader must foster open dialogue about failures, so that the innovation team can learn from them. Finally, build innovation into your budget and use it to evaluate how business units perform.

Innovation and Risk

Innovation is innately risky – but not necessarily more so than other elements of business that just seem less risky, such as building a factory. The difference is that people think they understand and can manage the risks involved in manufacturing. In fact, you can know innovation’s risks just as clearly and you can reduce them, once you understand them. Innovation risk comes from the gaps between different elements of the innovation team (such as the technologically trained and the marketers). Gaps also occur when companies lack the right support mechanisms, don’t train leaders appropriately or don’t understand all the components of a specific innovation. Gaps pop open when managers disrupt innovation teams, rather than helping them, when companies try to develop too many ideas at once or when they let teams sink fortunes into projects without addressing the “killer issues” they must solve to bring the product to market. Two additional subtle challenges come with innovation. First, incremental innovation requires different skills and attitudes than disruptive innovation, so a mismatch will stall a project. Of course, you also can do everything right and your competitors still may simply get to market first.

“Good design is a catalyst for creating total experiences that transcend functional benefits alone and delight customers. It is a catalyst for moving a business from technology-centered or product-myopic to consumer-experience-centered innovation.”

You can reduce these risks by taking several replicable steps. First, “know your customers” and keep them at the heart of your thinking. Second, build prototypes to test ideas as cheaply and quickly as possible, and run tests with consumers as soon and as often as possible. Experiment often. Third, monitor and maintain your innovation portfolio, so you’ve got varied projects maturing at different times. Fourth, identify your “killer issues early” in the process and force your team to face them. Fifth, learn from experience and from failure. Sixth and finally, develop metrics to measure your innovation.

Building an Innovation Culture

To develop an innovation culture, create an atmosphere where people are encouraged to try new things. Build a culture that emphasizes connection over isolation, a culture of teams, not just individuals, and a culture that is courageous. This courage may manifest in taking obvious risks, like trying new products, but it also may appear in subtler ways, like seeing the world in fresh ways or being comfortable with disagreement.

One way Procter & Gamble develops its innovation culture is through having a facility dedicated to developing innovative teams. P&G releases entire teams from their daily jobs for weeks at a time. They go to the innovation facility at Clay Street, which is stocked with tools – such as whiteboards and comfortable chairs to facilitate idea exchanges – and spend weeks interacting, with the help of a facilitator. They start by getting to know one another and they learn to trust each other along the way. They move into extended brainstorming sessions on their project. These sessions start on the wild and unstructured end of the spectrum, and move to being structured and focused. Along the way – around the sixth week – there’s usually a chaotic breakdown. This is followed by greater team unity, new ideas and, by the end of the process, a shift into functioning as an autonomous team.

You may not have a Clay Street facility, but you still can foster innovation by taking some deliberate steps. Make it easy for your employees to link up with resource people. Build innovation teams with the right people in specific roles: idea generation, execution, project management and leadership. Encourage the emotional qualities of an innovation culture: courage, connection, curiosity, openness and collaboration. Prepare the physical environment for innovation by creating gathering spaces, and providing props and funds for prototypes. Put the right leaders in place. This means finding people who are at ease with innovation’s sometimes conflicting demands. Innovation leaders must think creatively while helping their teams stick with processes and budgets. They must support their teams emotionally, but remain objective enough to kill projects that need to die.

About the Authors

A. G. Lafley is chairman and CEO of Procter & Gamble. In 2006, Chief Executive magazine named him CEO of the year. Ram Charan wrote Know-How and co-wrote Execution.


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The Game-Changer

Book The Game-Changer

How You Can Drive Revenue and Profit Growth with Innovation

Currency,


 



22 January 2026

From Strategy to Execution

Recommendation

Editors Daniel Pantaleo and Nirmal Pal offer a comprehensive examination of strategy and execution in a rapidly changing world. The contributors to their book identify the primary factors driving change, the most important kinds of innovation for today’s businesses, the essential elements of innovation strategy and the issues likely to emerge as challenges or obstacles. The book is well-organized and systematic, though at times densely written and difficult to follow. Its discussion of knowledge workers is particularly useful, because it exposes and debunks common myths about these increasingly important professionals. BooksInShort recommends this book to knowledge workers and their managers, and to executives and others who must manage change.

Take-Aways

  • The global economy is changing rapidly.
  • Centers of economic value creation are multiplying worldwide.
  • Innovation in business models is more important for success than innovation in products and services.
  • Strategies based on analytics are proving their worth.
  • Small and medium enterprises depend on knowledge and technology for growth.
  • Knowledge workers, whose ranks and costs are swelling, are indispensable to economic growth.
  • Developing countries are becoming more important as sources of both products and labor.
  • Innovation succeeds when it is oriented to customer needs rather than to internal performance standards.
  • Align the entire organization with the strategy.
  • Perquisites such as a nap rooms and cappuccino bars do not affect knowledge workers’ performance.

Summary

Quick Change Artistry

The world is quickly changing, and managers must respond to seven new phenomena:

  1. Globalization – Globalization is dispersing the centers of economic power. Brazil, Russia, India and China, often called the BRIC countries, are rapidly becoming as important as the U.S., Japan and Europe – and eastern European, South American and Asian countries will soon follow. Already, the creation of economic value by a single company depends on interconnections that span several continents.
  2. Innovation – Two critical management concerns are emerging: innovation in products and services, and innovation in business models themselves. Companies must learn to understand their value chains, identify their markets and manage their relationships with suppliers and distributors in new ways.
  3. Strategic analysis – Using analytics is a powerful way to drive business strategy. Sophisticated analytical technologies are indispensable to dealing with the deluge of information confronting corporate managers.
  4. Corporate social responsibility (CSR) – Good corporate citizenship has become a strategic imperative. Corporations need to convince the public that they are not only producing high-quality products and services but are also making positive contributions to the community. CSR strategy is at least as challenging as any other business strategy and merits equally thorough planning.
  5. Accessible knowledge – Enterprises increasingly depend on knowledge work and knowledge workers. These workers may be inclined to work alone and to keep information to themselves. However, recent research indicates that stereotypes about knowledge workers are wrong. They do not need cappuccino machines or nap rooms to function. Companies must learn what really motivates this population, and encourage communication between them and the rest of the organization.
  6. Alignment of business and information technology (IT) – Formerly a world of its own, IT is now a business tool. The new measure of IT performance is the effectiveness with which it supports business strategies and achieves business goals. Firms increasingly demand real-time, action-oriented information from their IT departments.
  7. Emergence of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) – Technologies that make information easily accessible have contributed to the proliferation of SMEs. Small companies staffed with knowledge workers can participate in a worldwide value chain.
“Beyond product and process innovation, the innovation of business models is a major focus of corporate leadership.”

These businesses have changed in response to the seven factors:

  • Kimberly-Clark – Kimberly-Clark was in the paper-manufacturing business, until its CEO dispensed with that to concentrate instead on selling Kleenex, Huggies and other consumer products.
  • IBM – Formerly focused on the manufacturing and sale of computers, IBM now focuses on “business performance transformation.”
  • Dell – Unlike other computer vendors, Dell does not sell through retail stores but rather directly to customers. Its innovative go-to-market strategy built a $40 billion business.
  • Starbucks – With innovative marketing, Starbucks convinced its customers to pay a premium for its coffee drinks.

The Next New Economic Thing

Six economic trends are changing the competitive playing field:

  1. Customer power – Increasing transparency and access to information is putting more power in the hands of customers. In some cases, consumers help determine not only how businesses design and deliver products, but also what business models they use. Often those customers are located in developing countries.
  2. Ascendance of information and services – Manufacturing and agricultural work are waning as the primary means of value creation in the global economy, while services and information are waxing. Information workers are in short supply, and most of them are, or will soon be, located in developing nations.
  3. Compliance pressures – As regulations become more stringent, executives are going beyond the requirements and emphasizing their CSR credentials.
  4. Capital market integration – The integration of global capital markets is increasing the availability of capital; however, it is also a source of unanticipated risk. Industry consolidation threatens small and medium-sized enterprises, which tend to become overly dependent on just a few customers.
  5. New business models – Many companies are changing their business models. In some cases, such as in entertainment and media companies, innovative technologies have made their traditional business models obsolete. In others, companies are trying to dodge the bullet of commoditization by adopting new models.
  6. Business-driven IT – A growing number of chief information officers have backgrounds in non-IT areas. IT is not merely about lowering costs but about developing new business models.

Speeding Innovation

Innovating is important; doing it quickly is even more so. Choose between these two approaches to increase the pace of innovation:

  1. Addressing time to launch – Focus on developing and releasing new services and products before your competitors do, and on reacting rapidly to their actions. Create an autonomous, responsible team with the authority to make decisions and change processes to achieve its goals. Funding of such teams should be lean. The team should feel pressure to attain its objectives before running out of money.
  2. Addressing market acceptance – Concentrate on gaining market share for your product. For example, MinuteClinic met a need for economical and convenient access to treatment for common illnesses such as strep throat. Initially, MinuteClinic accepted cash only, not insurance. Recognizing that this policy prevented some potential customers from using its services, MinuteClinic adapted to the market.

Disrupting Traditional Business Models

When Amazon.com made its debut, observers assumed its strength would be its inventory, which no brick-and-mortar bookstore could equal. However, Amazon’s real power comes from a business model that doesn’t depend on profit from what it sells. The company collects money from buyers before it makes payments to suppliers. Like a financial institution, it earns interest on the float.

“At base, every business relies on people.”

Radically innovative business models have disrupted the retail and airline industries. The inventors of warehouse stores discovered that by focusing on high-volume product lines and relying on consumer self-service, they could minimize costs and increase the flow of customers enough to allow them to undercut department store prices. Southwest Airlines challenged the conventional business model in its industry by slashing overhead, eliminating middlemen and simplifying its operations (for example, by flying only one type of relatively low-cost aircraft).

“To make money ‘feel welcome,’ governments around the world have recognized the importance of integrity, transparency and predictability.”

Provide value to the customer and make a profit doing so. First, learn what customers want. The furniture retailer IKEA targets consumers who are sensitive to both cost and design. But providing value to the customer is not enough. You must also be able to make a profit. Grameen Bank, the pioneering microlender, relies on low overhead and high recovery rates to remain profitable while making tiny loans to impoverished people in Bangladesh.

How to Develop Creative Business Models

In the past, successful business strategies could be linear and incremental, focusing on small improvements to existing, well-accepted performance dimensions. For example, a manufacturer of minivans would determine whether its new van had as many cupholders as the competition’s. A chipmaker would make sure its product had more memory than anyone else’s. However, today’s approach to product and service innovation strategy asks a different set of questions:

  • What job are customers trying to do with this product or service?
  • How effectively does this product or service deliver what customers want?
  • Could the product or service enable customers to reach their objectives at a lower cost, a higher speed or a better level of quality?
  • Can customers get what they want more easily with this innovation than without it?
“The best way to rapidly develop a product or service offering and get it out into the market is to set up a heavyweight team, grant it operational autonomy and task it with complete responsibility for the project.”

Here, the guiding star of innovation is the customer’s goal. Therefore, your objective is not to build a product or service that does an existing job better than anything else in the market, but rather to find a way to meet customers’ needs more effectively than anything else in the market. For example, Netflix made renting movies convenient and inexpensive by offering a subscription service to its vast inventory. Redbox, a Netflix competitor, meets the same need instantly, by providing a selection of popular movies in vending machines at retail outlets.

The Rise of the Knowledge Worker

Your entire organization must get behind your business strategy. As the Chinese general Sun Tzu said, “He will win whose army is animated by the same spirit through all its ranks.” Alignment does not mean issuing precise instructions but rather ensuring that everyone in the organization reacts to the unexpected in ways that help the company achieve its goals.

“The ultimate measure of the success of a talent management initiative is what happens with the talent and what happens with the business.”

Alignment is particularly important with respect to knowledge workers, who constitute as much as a third of the entire population of workers in developed economies. Their ranks are swelling – as are their costs. Manufacturing and agriculture are moving to low-labor-cost countries, so knowledge workers are becoming ever more important to developed countries. These are the four broad categories of knowledge work:

  1. Transaction work – Relatively simple, routine labor that people often do alone, for instance, working at a call center.
  2. Integration work – Systematic, repetitious work based on processes or standards that employees perform across functional borders. Computer programming is an example.
  3. Expert work – Complex work that depends on judgment, education and experience, such as that of a primary care doctor. It requires little collaboration or integration.
  4. Collaboration work – Complex work that requires a high degree of collaboration and interdependence, such as that of investment bankers, attorneys and consultants. It is improvisational and dependent on judgment, education and experience.
“Because knowledge work has become the key to growth and differentiation in today’s economy, the differential in cost and value between knowledge work and management has decreased.”

By and large, companies do not yet understand how knowledge workers use technology. They haven’t figured out what kind of physical environment these workers need. Managers must change the focus of their work in these eight ways:

  1. Not simply supervising but rather doing the work.
  2. Organizing communities rather than establishing hierarchies.
  3. “Recruiting and retaining” rather than “hiring and firing.”
  4. Developing knowledge capabilities rather than manual or physical ones.
  5. Evaluating knowledge rather than products.
  6. Constructing a culture that welcomes and encourages knowledge rather than letting other factors define the culture.
  7. Keeping the bureaucracy at bay rather than keeping it in power.
  8. Reaching for sources of knowledge beyond the company rather than enforcing reliance on internal resources.
“An adaptive architecture can be built by explicitly specifying in the architecture what the organization implicitly does: integrating a number of processes to create larger processes.”

The logic of the 20th century does not apply to the 21st. Three principles should guide business-model innovation:

  • This type of innovation is fundamental, radical and indispensable.
  • IT must serve business objectives and business model transformation.
  • Business model innovation should center not on the firm but on a network of partners who may be suppliers, investors, customers and others.

About the Authors

Dan Pantaleo is a vice president in the global communication organization SAP. Nirmal Pal directed the eBusiness Research Center at Pennsylvania State University and previously worked 39 years at IBM. He and Pantaleo co-authored The Agile Enterprise.


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From Strategy to Execution

Book From Strategy to Execution

Turning Accelerated Global Change into Opportunity

Springer,


 



22 January 2026

Predictably Irrational

Recommendation

This is surely one of the decade’s best books on decision making, economics, psychology and behavior – because it touches all of those topics. Author Dan Ariely is a distinguished academician, but his style is so clear, accessible and straightforward that he does not seem to belong to academia at all. Although he recounts numerous experimental procedures and discoveries, he never bogs the reader down in technical minutiae or jargon. Moreover, he provides a clear connection to the reader’s life with every account. The book is eminently practical and stretches beyond the boundaries even of the several sciences in his research. At times, themes from spiritual and philosophical literature resonate in the text. BooksInShort believes reading this book can help anyone make more conscious decisions – no matter what those decisions are about, from setting a corporate strategy to finding a date to just choosing what brand of soda to buy.

Take-Aways

  • People are irrational, and they foreseeably do the same irrational things repeatedly.
  • Social norms and market norms are incompatible.
  • Companies that invoke social norms to build customer or employee trust and loyalty cannot invoke market norms to cut costs without causing bitterness and alienation.
  • Be very careful what you use as a context for decisions or a basis for comparisons.
  • Most people procrastinate; to deal with it, first they must admit to having the problem.
  • Beware of ownership – attachment to anything can cause unreasonable decisions.
  • No decision is small or inconsequential. Every one can lead to a long train of subsequent decisions and influence the rest of your life.
  • Stereotypes are so powerful that people who are reminded of a stereotype about their age, race or gender tend to act out the stereotype.
  • Left alone, most people will cheat a little bit most of the time – but when they think of the 10 Commandments, people don’t cheat at all.
  • People don’t understand most of the factors that affect how they make decisions.

Summary

Lessons in Irrationality

Author Dan Ariely was 18 when an explosion burned him so severely that he was confined to a hospital for three years. Cut off from friends and normal routines, he began to observe and reflect upon behavior – his own and that of others. He suffered extreme pain from his burns and from the regimen of therapy. Nurses bathed him daily in disinfectant, first tearing off his bandages as quickly as possible. He felt that the pain might have been less if they removed the bandages slowly. The nurses insisted that there was no difference. After he left the hospital, he conducted research at Tel Aviv University that proved his point.

“We are not only irrational, but predictably irrational...our irrationality happens the same way, again and again.”

Although his research did not cause a widespread change in patient treatment, it led him to a lifetime of studying why people misjudge the ramifications of their behavior and persist doing unreasonable things. Traditional economic theory dealt with what people should do, and fundamentally assumed that people are rational. Behavioral economics examines what people actually do; in that endeavor, it has discovered the depth and breadth of human irrationality.

Relativity and Choice

A magazine once advertised three subscription options: $59 for a subscription to the online version only, $125 for a subscription to the print magazine only and $125, again, for both. No one in a group of 100 MIT students chose the print-only option, 16 chose online-only and 84 chose the print-and-online option. When the magazine eliminated the print-only option, 68 students chose the less expensive online-only option and only 32 chose the costlier, two-version option.

“My goal...is to help you fundamentally rethink what makes you and the people around you tick...Once you see how systematic some mistakes are – and how we repeat them...I think you will begin to learn how to avoid some of them.”

If the students had been making rational decisions based purely on facts, such a difference would not have existed. The combined price clearly made the print version virtually free. People look at context, comparisons and relativity – not only in magazine subscriptions, but also in decisions on more important matters, such as dating and salary negotiations. They can be more or less happy depending on the group of alternatives they use for comparison. That offers an important life lesson: Be careful about your context for comparison. For example, people who might easily spend thousands for leather car upholstery would not spend that amount on leather upholstery for their living room furniture. Expanding the context for comparison would help them decide if they could do better things with the money than cover their car seats.

It’s Not Supply and Demand

Conventional economics say that supply and demand determine price. However, the study of behavioral economics has shown that factors completely irrelevant to the supply-and-demand curve can determine prices. For example, in one experiment, researchers asked U.S. participants to put the last two digits of their Social Security numbers at the top of a form where they were to record the prices they were willing to pay for various products. Participants with high Social Security numbers consistently made higher offers than those with low Social Security numbers.

“Wouldn’t economics make a lot more sense if it were based on how people actually behave, instead of how they should behave?”

The initial price someone may be willing to pay for an item is more or less arbitrary. But, once established, that price becomes an anchor. The same is true in other areas of life. People fixate on those anchors. That means no decision is really inconsequential or minor. Every decision can echo through your future. Like people deciding that a restaurant is good because it has a long line of people waiting to get in, you’ll effectively get in line with your previous decisions.

Be Aware of Giveaways

The prospect of getting something for nothing is powerful. Ariely once offered subjects the choice of buying a premium chocolate truffle for 15¢ or an ordinary Hershey’s Kiss for a penny. Almost 75% chose the truffle. Then he reduced the price of both by a penny, so the truffle cost 14¢, but the Hershey’s Kiss was free. “Some 69%” of the subjects who got those two choices picked the Hershey’s Kiss, because it was free.

“Relativity helps us make decisions in life. But it can also make us downright miserable. Why? Because jealousy and envy spring from comparing our lot in life with that of others.”

In fact, vendors’ free offers are costly to consumers. When Amazon offers free shipping for larger orders, many people order extra books just to qualify for the free shipping. The offer of free oil changes influenced Ariely to buy a red sedan instead of a family van, even though the oil changes amounted to only .5% of the car’s price. Policy makers should put this principle to work by making certain health checks free, and offering free benefits to people who do socially desirable things, such as driving electric cars.

Social Versus Market Norms

Market norms apply to monetary exchanges. People expect to pay for what they get, and vice versa. Social norms do not involve payment. Confusing the two leads to problems, as in the case of the young man who spends a lot of money courting a young lady and then wonders why she won’t bestow a physical expression of her appreciation. Social norms are so powerful that research suggests people will work as hard for no money as they will for good pay to accomplish a social good. However, social norms are vulnerable, and once relationships shift from social norms to market norms, moving them back is very hard.

“In our experiments we saw clearly that running from pillar to post was not only stressful but uneconomical.”

When organizations build social relationships with their employees and customers, they commit themselves to relaxing market norms. If you evoke social norms to get customers to trust you, they will be angry if you cut services and then market norms as the reason. Similarly, if you reinforce employees’ loyalty socially and then fire them to save money according to market norms, they will feel betrayed because the ethos of the market is inconsistent with the social mores you established.

What Men Really Want

Men want sex. All kinds. More kinds than they would ever admit in a calm state of mind. More sex than they could even imagine having any inclination toward – until excited. In one experiment, Ariely asked male subjects to fill out a questionnaire about sexual desire and behavior. They gave the rational answers you might expect from well-educated, prudent, civilized young men. However, when asked to answer the same questions in a state of excitement, prudence, thoughts of consequences and other rational considerations largely disappeared. The lesson: It is easier to avoid temptation in the first place than to resist it in the heat of passion.

Maybe Later?

Procrastination is a common, albeit irrational, failure. Many people procrastinate about saving, dieting and other important decisions. Ariely found that letting students make their own choices of research paper deadlines, and commit to them in advance, improved their performance. He offered credit card companies a product that would help customers control their spending by limiting their card’s expenditures on particular items or during particular time frames. So far, no credit card company has adopted the idea.

Ownership Doesn’t Pay, It Costs

The mere fact of owning something seems to endow it with value it did not have when someone else owned it. In an experiment at Duke University, where tickets to major basketball games are available only through a hard-to-win lottery, Ariely asked students who had not won tickets how much they would pay for one. Generally, they said about $170. Then, he asked students who had won a ticket how much they’d expect to sell it for; the average answer was $2,400. The mere fact of ownership made the tickets seem much more valuable than the lack of ownership. People form strong attachments to their own things. When they think of selling these things, they consider the value lost, not the value the buyer would gain. They suppose that a buyer should recognize their item’s intangible, emotional value. Ownership also applies to opinions. People even find it very difficult to turn loose of what they think. Therefore, try to avoid taking ownership in the first place; maintain as much detachment as possible when ownership is unavoidable. Simply recognizing the risks of ownership may help.

Too Many Choices

A great Chinese general motivated his troops to be single-minded in pursuit of victory by burning their transport ships and smashing their cooking pots. Return was not an option, nor was delay – because they had nothing to eat. Foreclosing options and eliminating choices secured victory. People with too many options tend to make suboptimal decisions. However, they are reluctant to release any options and focus on one thing. They play too many sports, serve on too many committees and take on too many obligations, to the detriment of all. They spend too much time comparing similar alternatives, thus incurring the paralyzing “consequences of not deciding,” though they are seldom aware of it.

Expectations Are Powerful

People pretty much get what they think they will get. Tell people that their beer has vinegar in it before they take a sip and they will wrinkle their noses at the taste. Don’t tell them, and they are apt to find the flavor refreshingly novel. A presentation that sets expectations – for example, a fancy set of wine glasses – will affect perception of the taste. Brain scans show that if you tell people they are about to taste Coca-Cola, that information activates an area of the brain associated with memory and ideas. Their association with the brand predisposes them to enjoy the taste.

“It can be rather depressing to realize that we all continually make irrational decisions...but there is a silver lining: the fact that we make mistakes also means that there are ways to improve our decisions.”

Asian-American women whose attention is drawn to their race before they take a math test perform better on the test than those whose attention is drawn to their gender. The stereotype of Asian Americans is that they excel at math; the stereotype of women is that they do not. Merely considering the stereotype affected the women’s performance.

You Get What You Pay For, Strange to Say

Experimental subjects offered an expensive painkiller reported that it was very efficacious; those offered a discount pill reported mediocre results. In fact, the “painkiller” was Vitamin C and people got the relief they thought they had paid to get. This placebo effect is real. In the Middle Ages, the “royal touch” actually healed victims of crippling ailments. Placebos often work as well as medicines. Moreover, a medication’s efficacy often depends on the placebo effect. In fact, “If placebos can make us feel better, should we simply sit back and enjoy them?”

Everybody Cheats

Controlled experiments found that most experimental subjects, when given a chance to cheat, would cheat a little bit. They would not cheat blatantly, but they would chisel. They were not as likely to cheat to gain money as they were to gain some noncash item. Ariely once put a six-pack of soft drinks in communal dormitory refrigerators. The soft drinks disappeared. Then he put a small sum of cash in each refrigerator. No one stole the cash.

“If I were to distill one main lesson from the research described in this book, it is that we are pawns in a game whose forces we largely fail to comprehend.”

Cheating is widespread, but you can turn to a strong deterrent: the 10 Commandments. Experimental subjects asked to think about the 10 Commandments before participating in the experiment did not cheat. Even students who could only remember a few of the Commandments did not cheat. References to the Commandments, or to codes of honor and other reminders of the sacred trust can indeed have a desirable impact on conduct.

There Is a Such a Thing as a Free Lunch

People who order restaurant meals in groups are apt to order food they don’t really like because their companions’ orders influence theirs. Americans seem to want to demonstrate independence by ordering something different from other people, while diners in Hong Kong feel pressured to demonstrate conformity by ordering the same thing as others. Diners in both places report lower satisfaction with their meals as a result.

“We are far less rational in our decision making than standard economics assumes.”

Conventional economics suggest that there is no such thing as a free lunch, because rational decision makers make irrational choices – and free lunches get arbitraged away. Behavioral economics, which looks at how people actually behave, not how they would behave if they were rational, finds that free lunches can exist: That is, the benefits of an action may very well outweigh its costs. The difference is free.

About the Author

Dan Ariely is the James B. Duke Professor of Behavioral Economics at Duke University, with appointments at the Fuqua School of Business, the Center for Cognitive Neuroscience and the Department of Economics. He is a visiting professor at MIT’s Media Lab.


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Predictably Irrational

Book Predictably Irrational

The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions

Harper,


 




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